North Carolina St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
110  Ian Shanklin FR 31:50
216  Aubrey Myjer SR 32:12
223  Joe Bistritz FR 32:13
241  Edwin Rutto FR 32:16
261  Tanis Baldwin SO 32:20
274  Ben Barrett SO 32:22
280  Patrick Sheehan JR 32:23
288  Elijah Moskowitz JR 32:24
368  Philip Hall JR 32:35
474  Alec Thomas JR 32:45
1,237  Brendan Johnson SR 33:59
1,614  Kyle Christ SO 34:28
1,944  Eric Walz FR 35:00
National Rank #29 of 315
Southeast Region Rank #5 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 76.2%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 25.8%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 94.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ian Shanklin Aubrey Myjer Joe Bistritz Edwin Rutto Tanis Baldwin Ben Barrett Patrick Sheehan Elijah Moskowitz Philip Hall Alec Thomas Brendan Johnson
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 589 32:17 32:14 32:19 32:47 31:57 32:39 31:46 32:00 32:39
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 649 32:24 32:14 32:02 32:23 32:21 31:41
ECU Pirates Invitational 10/13 33:59
ACC Championship 10/27 668 32:12 32:26 32:06 32:06 32:52 32:33 32:05 32:32
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 582 31:31 31:54 32:09 32:39 32:00 32:45 33:13





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 76.2% 22.3 563 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.3 2.3 2.2 3.8 3.4 3.8 4.2 5.1 5.1 7.0 4.6 6.3 5.3 5.1 3.5 3.1 3.3 2.2
Region Championship 100% 3.5 150 0.3 15.3 45.8 21.4 11.2 4.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Shanklin 76.5% 91.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Aubrey Myjer 76.2% 147.6
Joe Bistritz 76.2% 152.4
Edwin Rutto 76.2% 160.6
Tanis Baldwin 76.2% 168.7
Ben Barrett 76.2% 173.0
Patrick Sheehan 76.2% 175.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ian Shanklin 18.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.7 4.4 4.6 4.9 4.4 4.8 4.6 4.3 4.6 3.6 3.4 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.2
Aubrey Myjer 31.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.4 1.7 3.5 3.3 2.8
Joe Bistritz 32.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.6 3.2 2.8 3.4 3.0
Edwin Rutto 35.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.8 2.6
Tanis Baldwin 37.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.5
Ben Barrett 39.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.9 1.9
Patrick Sheehan 40.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 15.3% 100.0% 15.3 15.3 2
3 45.8% 86.2% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.2 5.2 4.4 5.4 4.7 4.8 4.0 3.0 4.3 6.3 39.5 3
4 21.4% 77.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.5 2.5 2.4 2.2 3.1 1.7 1.8 4.9 16.5 4
5 11.2% 40.2% 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.7 6.7 4.5 5
6 4.4% 2.3% 0.1 0.1 4.3 0.1 6
7 1.2% 1.2 7
8 0.4% 0.4 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 76.2% 0.3 15.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 3.2 6.4 6.3 8.3 7.3 7.9 8.2 5.4 6.8 23.9 15.6 60.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 3.0 0.7
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 2.0 0.1
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.6% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.7
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 13.0